Recently, the TRANS research group, in collaboration with Tsinghua University, the University of Cambridge, the University of Groningen and other institutions, published its latest study, titled “Distributional impacts of EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles across European markets,” in Nature Energy with an impact factor of 70.1. The team was also invited to contribute a Policy Brief entitled “Managing the impacts of EU electric vehicle import tariffs,” which was published alongside the research article. The research team combined model-level cost data with a market adoption framework to quantify how tariff-induced cost shocks propagate through total cost of ownership (TCO) and reshape electric vehicle (EV) adoption across 20 EU countries and 10 vehicle classes. The TRANS research group contributed to the development and application of the New Energy and Oil Consumption Credit (NEOCC) model, which dynamically simulates the electrification trajectories of European markets from 2025 to 2035. The findings highlight the distributional consequences of uniform trade interventions and underscore the importance of aligning trade and industrial policy to support a resilient and inclusive transition.
CITAION: Dou, H., Jiang, S., Ou, S.S. et al. Distributional impacts of EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles across European markets. Nature Energy (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-026-02105-7