【EP42 · Research Highlights】— The potential role of truck-hailing and operational efficiency improvement in China’s road freight decarbonization

In April, 2026, the TRANS Research Group and KAPSARC, Tsinghua University, Southwest Jiaotong University published their study, ”The potential role of truck-hailing and operational efficiency improvement in China’s road freight decarbonization” at Nature Communications, a prestigious top-tier multidisciplinary journal under the Nature Portfolio.

This study addresses the critical research gap in demand-side decarbonization strategies for road freight, a sector that dominates global transport energy consumption growth. Leveraging a national high-resolution dataset of 51,021 real-world truck-hailing operation records, this study for the first time systematically quantified the transformative efficiency gains of digital freight matching for medium- and heavy-duty trucks, including a 10% empty driving rate, 87-88% loading rate, and doubled vehicle turnover efficiency. It developed an enhanced fleet model integrating core operational parameters, mapped the cross-period synergy between logistics optimization and low-carbon technologies, and revealed that efficiency improvement in a medium scenario can deliver 9%-24% cumulative emission reduction in 2020–2035 and 23%-31% in 2035–2060. It also first assessed the emission offset effect caused by operational constraints of zero-emission trucks, providing critical early warnings for industry transition.

This work is a joint effort across leading global institutions. Co-authors are Dr. Xun Xu (King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center); Prof. Shiqi Ou, Prof. Zhenhong Lin (South China University of Technology); Prof. Tianduo Peng, Prof. Xunmin Ou (Tsinghua University); and Prof. Zhandong Xu, Prof. Mi Gan, Dr. Dandan Li, Prof. Xiaobo Liu (Southwest Jiaotong University). The corresponding authors are Dr. Xu, Dr. Peng, and Dr, Xunmin Ou.